Many have touted gold as the safe place to invest as prices skyrocketed over the past several months. But gold as a haven is falling to cash as reported in today's FT: Gold slides as investors scramble for cash. Although gold may recover to its record levels, that is by no means assured. Individuals and institutions need to be cautious of any spokesperson or organization … [Read more...] about Scenario: Gold isn’t always a safe haven
Scenario Planning
Why is Uncertainty in so many of Today’s Headlines
I just completed a brief interview on uncertainty, and I don't think my answer was as precise as it could be. So I thought I would write out the answer here. Hope is a fact but certainty is a myth. Through the construct of hope, people may believe that things are stable or certain, but they never are. From the demise of marriages to untimely deaths, to the loss of a job to … [Read more...] about Why is Uncertainty in so many of Today’s Headlines
Thinking Like a Strategist. Perspectives on Research.
When a large organization tells me that they have "confirmed their strategic position with research" I am immediately skeptical because that sentence doesn't provide me with enough information. I dig a little deeper by asking a not so simple question: Was this research conducted after you decided on your position or before? This question is important because when it … [Read more...] about Thinking Like a Strategist. Perspectives on Research.
The Tens: Don’t Trust A Futurist
For more serious insights on strategy click here. … [Read more...] about The Tens: Don’t Trust A Futurist
Five Things to Consider as your worry about Uncertainty and the Future of the Economy
The buzzword yesterday was uncertainty. US debt has never dropped below a AAA rating. And yet, with the move to AA+, the bond market was positive, while stocks, in companies with good earnings and huge amounts of cash, took a pounding. It is hard to make sense of what is going on unless you look beyond the headlines to some underlying realities. Here is some advice for these … [Read more...] about Five Things to Consider as your worry about Uncertainty and the Future of the Economy
