The case for Agile Scenario Planning Since the onset of the pandemic, any set of scenario plans that did not include a global pandemic or an analog, instantly became useless. The black swan of the pandemic disrupted assumptions across the board. It made almost everything uncertain. Early on in the pandemic, a few forecasters attempted to find ways to see a post-pandemic … [Read more...] about Why It’s Time to Adopt Agile Scenario Planning
Scenario Planning
CES 2021 WFH Innovations to Consider
CES 2021 WFH Innovations. CES 2021 wrapped. I'm not sitting at the Venetian, just inside from the Sands Convention Center, exhausted from trying to embrace that final leg of CES after days at the Las Vegas Convention Center. Although I am not at the Venetian, I am a bit exhausted. I did not find the virtual experience as useful as it could have been. I also found that after … [Read more...] about CES 2021 WFH Innovations to Consider
A Counterpoint to Slack’s Navigating the Disruption of Work Report
In late October 2020, Slack dropped a report titled Navigating the Disruption of Work. The report centers on five key assertions: As with any assertive set of future-looking statements, context often gets missed when trying to create a position. Slack fails to recognize two essential elements still in play. First, we are too close to the event to forecast what will … [Read more...] about A Counterpoint to Slack’s Navigating the Disruption of Work Report
How to Think Like a Scenario Planner
Those who want to think like a scenario planner need to adopt a new mindset. Â Yes,scenario planning is a process. Those who treat scenario planning only as a process, however, achieve suboptimal results. Scenario planning, the analysis of the uncertainties, and the authoring of the narratives takes place in the imagination of the team creating the scenarios. Turning … [Read more...] about How to Think Like a Scenario Planner
Scenario Planning, AI and Covid-19
Scenario Planning, AI and Covid-19 In Scenario Planning, AI and Covid-19 will challenge assumptions about what factors shape our future. Even for those who developed scenarios in which the Covid-19 outbreak occurred, that it has occurred means those scenarios collapse into a set of certainties. The surrounding scenarios no longer hold true. The number of uncertainties … [Read more...] about Scenario Planning, AI and Covid-19